Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 20?
Last captured price
2.75¢
+1.25¢ · 24h
Implied probability 2.75%
$10.1K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market rules provide clear and objective criteria for resolution. The outcome depends entirely on a single, specific 1-minute candle (closing at 12:00 PM ET on October 20) for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance. A direct URL and specific chart settings (1m candle close price) are defined, leaving virtually no room for subjective interpretation or decider discretion. Anyone participating should simply be aware that only Binance's specific BTC/USDT feed determines the outcome, meaning temporary price discrepancies across other exchanges or pairs will not affect resolution.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin exceeds $86,000 at a specific minute on October 20, 2026. Resolution relies strictly on a single 1-minute candle on Binance for the BTC/USDT pair rather than an aggregate index or other exchanges.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on October 20, 2026, records a final Close price strictly greater than $86,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is equal to or less than $86,000 at that exact candle. Resolution is determined strictly by Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data, with price precision matching the decimal places provided by the source.
Key dates
- Target candle close: — 12:00 PM ET
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1m candle close price
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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