Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20?
Last captured price
53¢
+19¢ · 24h
Implied probability 53%
$7.8K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
This market features clear, objective resolution criteria. It specifies an exact resolution source, trading pair, timeframe, and specific candle timestamp (the 12:00 PM ET 1-minute candle on Binance for BTC/USDT). The outcome relies directly on the recorded close price of that candle, leaving no room for decider discretion or conflicting interpretations.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
A big move was detected in the last 7 days. No explanation is available for it yet.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin exceeds $82,000 on October 20. It relies strictly on a specific Binance 1-minute candle rather than broader index prices or other exchanges.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on October 20, 2026, has a final Close price strictly higher than $82,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is less than or equal to $82,000. Resolution is determined strictly by the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair with 1m candles selected, and prices from other exchanges or pairs do not count. Price precision follows the decimal places reported by the source.
Key dates
- Observation time: — The 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 PM ET on October 20 determines the final price.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.