Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?
Current price
11.5¢
Implied probability 11.5%
$362.1 total volume · YES/NO
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly define regular time plus stoppage time as the evaluation period and provide a structured hierarchy of official sources and statistical backups. However, there is a significant exceptional clause: if the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to Yes rather than resolving as void, 50-50, or No. Additionally, if the match is postponed, the market remains open indefinitely until completion with no long-term cutoff date specified. Positions should be held with awareness of this cancellation clause, which treats an unplayed game the same as an on-pitch draw.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- High
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 21, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the football match between FC Internazionale Milano and FK Shakhtar Donetsk ends in a draw within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Unusually, if the match is canceled entirely without a make-up game, the market resolves to Yes.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the game ends in a draw within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. It also resolves to Yes if the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game. It resolves to No if the match does not end in a draw. If the match is postponed, the market remains open until it is completed. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, it resolves 50-50, or to Draw where applicable. Resolution is decided using official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If official data is not published within 2 hours, Flashscore data may be used, followed by Sofascore, and then a consensus of credible reporting. Revisions made after resolution are disregarded.
Key dates
- Scheduled match date: — The match is scheduled for this date; postponement extends the market.
Resolution source
Official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting as fallbacks
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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