Will Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK end in a draw?
Current price
13.5¢
Implied probability 13.5%
$2.7K total volume · YES/NO
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify regular time plus stoppage time and establish a clear hierarchy of sources starting with the official governing body. However, there is a counterintuitive cancellation clause: if the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to Yes rather than being voided or resolving based on whether a draw actually occurred. A postponed match will remain open indefinitely until completed. Standard match outcomes are unambiguous, but participants should be aware that a non-played or fully canceled match results in a Yes resolution.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- High
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 21, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the soccer match between Aston Villa FC and Viking FK ends in a draw within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, or if the match is canceled entirely.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the match ends in a draw within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. It also resolves to Yes if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. The market resolves to No if either team wins within regular play and stoppage time. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until it is completed. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the conclusion, it resolves 50-50 (or to Draw where applicable). Resolution is decided primarily using official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers, followed by Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting if needed. Subsequent score revisions are disregarded.
Key dates
- Scheduled match date: — Date the match is scheduled to occur.
Resolution source
Official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers, Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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