Real Madrid CF to score first vs. RB Leipzig?
Current price
75¢
Implied probability 75%
$2.5 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify the conditions for resolving which team scores first, explicitly defining the match duration as regular time plus injury time while excluding extra time and shootouts. Outlined fallback outcomes handle scoreless results, cancellations, and data delays. The resolution source follows a strict hierarchy starting with official event organizers before falling back to designated third-party sports statistics providers.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Tradability has not been assessed for this market.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming match between Real Madrid CF and RB Leipzig, scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Madrid CF" if Real Madrid CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "RB Leipzig" if RB Leipzig are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures which team scores the first goal in the match between Real Madrid CF and RB Leipzig, considering only regular play plus stoppage time.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Real Madrid CF if Real Madrid CF scores first within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The market resolves to RB Leipzig if RB Leipzig scores first within regular play plus stoppage time. The market resolves to Neither if neither team scores within regular play plus stoppage time, or if the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If postponed, the market stays open until completion. If no acceptable data exists within 24 hours of completion, the market resolves 50-50, or to Draw where applicable. Resolution is decided by the official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, falling back to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting if needed.
Key dates
- Match date: — Scheduled start time for the match
Resolution source
Official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with fallbacks to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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