Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?
Gotcha risk
Medium2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market resolves to Yes if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine before June 30, 2027.
Read the full assessment
This market resolves to Yes if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine before June 30, 2027. A key detail to watch is the early resolution clause: an official announcement of his resignation or removal will trigger an immediate Yes resolution, even if the actual departure is scheduled for an effective date far in the future or after the market's end date. For determining the outcome, the rules point to official statements from Zelenskyy and the Ukrainian government, but also permit relying on a broad consensus of credible reporting, which leaves some latitude to the resolver in contested or ambiguous political scenarios.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Medium
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
19%
chance▼ −1 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market explained
This market measures whether Volodymyr Zelenskyy leaves office as President of Ukraine by June 30, 2027. A notable aspect is that an official announcement of his resignation or removal before the market end date triggers an immediate resolution, even if the effective date is later.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2027 (ET). The market also immediately resolves to Yes if an announcement of his resignation or removal is made before the market end date, regardless of when it takes effect. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Resolution is determined using official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution source
Official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·