Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)
Current price
47.5¢
Implied probability 47.5%
$3.2K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify the conditions for settlement, requiring AS Roma to win by at least three goals within regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source is explicitly defined as the official final score on UEFA's website, supported by a structured fallback hierarchy (Flashscore, Sofascore, and then credible reporting) if the governing body does not post statistics within two hours. Clear contingency provisions cover match postponements and cancellations.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for October 20 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AS Roma" if AS Roma win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "ŠK Slovan Bratislava". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether AS Roma will defeat ŠK Slovan Bratislava by 3 or more goals in their UEFA Champions League match, covering only regular play plus stoppage time.
How it resolves
The market resolves to AS Roma if AS Roma wins the match by 3 or more goals. The market resolves to ŠK Slovan Bratislava if AS Roma does not win by at least 3 goals. Only the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time counts. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, or if no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50. If postponed, it stays open until completed. The primary resolution source is the official final score on uefa.com or official governing body statistics. Fallback sources include Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting if official stats are delayed past 2 hours.
Key dates
- Match scheduled start: — Scheduled kickoff time in ET.
Resolution source
uefa.com
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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