Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)
Current price
38.5¢
Implied probability 38.5%
$27.8 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify the conditions for settlement: FC Porto must win by 2 or more goals in regular time plus stoppage time, with any other outcome resolving to PSV. The primary resolution source is clearly named as the official UEFA website (uefa.com), with an unambiguous cascade of backup sources and specific deadlines if official statistics are delayed. Standard provisions for postponement and cancellation are well-defined.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for October 20 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Porto" if FC Porto win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "PSV". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether FC Porto defeats PSV by at least 2 goals in their scheduled UEFA Champions League match, covering only regular time plus stoppage time.
How it resolves
The market resolves to FC Porto if FC Porto wins the match by 2 or more goals. The market resolves to PSV if FC Porto does not win by at least 2 goals. The outcome only considers regular play (90 minutes plus stoppage time). If the match is canceled entirely without a make-up game, or if no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of completion, the market resolves 50-50. If postponed, it stays open until finished. Resolution is decided using the official final score on uefa.com. If official stats are not published within 2 hours, Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Key dates
- Scheduled match time: — The game is scheduled for October 20 at 3:00 PM ET.
Resolution source
uefa.com, with fallbacks to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
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