Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)
Current price
40.5¢
Implied probability 40.5%
$266.8 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The rules clearly specify standard spread mechanics, resolving to Liverpool FC if they win by 2 or more goals within regular time plus stoppage time, and to Villarreal CF otherwise. Resolution relies directly on official UEFA statistics, with a clear sequential fallback hierarchy if official data is delayed. Standard contingency provisions for postponement and cancellation are well defined.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for October 20 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Liverpool FC" if Liverpool FC win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Villarreal CF". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Liverpool FC will win their UEFA Champions League match against Villarreal CF by 2 or more goals based on standard regular play and stoppage time.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Liverpool FC if Liverpool FC wins the match by 2 or more goals. The market resolves to Villarreal CF otherwise. If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, or if no acceptable reporting data is available within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50 (or to Draw where applicable). If postponed, the market stays open until completion. Outcomes are determined solely by the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, disregarding later revisions. Resolution is decided using official statistics on uefa.com, with fallbacks to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting if official data is not published within 2 hours.
Key dates
- Scheduled match start: — Scheduled kickoff time at 3:00 PM ET
Resolution source
uefa.com
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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