Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)
Current price
36.5¢
Implied probability 36.5%
Volume not captured · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify the conditions for both outcomes: SSC Napoli must win by two or more goals within regular play plus stoppage time, otherwise the market resolves to FK Bodo/Glimt. Resolution relies primarily on official data from uefa.com, with a clear fallback hierarchy (Flashscore, Sofascore, consensus reporting) if official data is delayed. Postponements keep the market open until completion, and full cancellations resolve 50-50.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for October 20 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SSC Napoli" if SSC Napoli win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FK Bodø/Glimt". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether SSC Napoli will defeat FK Bodø/Glimt by at least 2 goals in their scheduled UEFA Champions League match, covering only regular time plus stoppage time.
How it resolves
The market resolves to SSC Napoli if SSC Napoli wins the game by 2 or more goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The market resolves to FK Bodø/Glimt if SSC Napoli does not win by at least 2 goals. The market resolves 50-50 if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, or if no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion. If postponed, the market stays open until completion. The outcome is decided using the official final score on uefa.com. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours, Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions made after resolution are disregarded.
Key dates
- Match start time: — Scheduled for October 20 at 3:00 PM ET.
Resolution source
uefa.com
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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