Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-21?
Current price
30.5¢
Implied probability 30.5%
$191 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The rules clearly specify that resolution depends on whether Galatasaray SK wins in regular time plus stoppage time for the game scheduled on October 21, 2026. A clear hierarchy of sources is provided, starting with the official governing body, followed by named fallback statistics providers (Flashscore and Sofascore). Participants should note that extra time or penalty shootouts do not count toward a win, postponed games keep the market open indefinitely until played, and an outright cancellation resolves to No. Additionally, there is a fail-safe clause resolving the market to 50-50 if no reliable data can be found within 24 hours.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 21, 2026 If Galatasaray SK wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Galatasaray SK will win their scheduled soccer match on October 21, 2026, based strictly on the result within regular play plus stoppage time.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Galatasaray SK wins within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The market resolves to No if Galatasaray SK does not win, or if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. If the match is postponed, the market stays open until the game concludes. The market resolves to 50-50 (or Draw if applicable) if no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of completion. Resolution is decided by official statistics from the governing body or organizers. If not published within 2 hours, Flashscore, Sofascore, or credible reporting may be used sequentially. Later revisions are disregarded.
Key dates
- Match date: — Scheduled date of the game
Resolution source
Official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, with Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting as fallbacks
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.