Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-21?
Current price
44.5¢
Implied probability 44.5%
$54 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify that the market resolves based on the match outcome within regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A clear hierarchy of resolution sources is established, beginning with official event statistics and falling back to reputable sports aggregators like Flashscore and Sofascore if needed. Postponement and cancellation scenarios are explicitly handled, with postponed matches staying open until played and canceled games resolving to No. Revisions after resolution are ignored, and a standard 50-50 fallback is defined if no data is found after 24 hours.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 21, 2026 If Lille OSC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Lille OSC wins their match scheduled for October 21, 2026. The outcome considers only regular play and stoppage time, ignoring extra time or penalties.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Lille OSC wins the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The market resolves to No if Lille OSC does not win, or if the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until it is completed. The market resolves 50-50, or to Draw where applicable, if no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the match's conclusion. The primary source is official statistics from the governing body or event organizers. If unavailable within 2 hours of conclusion, Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Post-resolution revisions are disregarded.
Key dates
- Match date: — Scheduled date of the game
Resolution source
Official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, with Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting as fallbacks
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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