Manchester United FC leading at halftime?
Current price
27.5¢
Implied probability 27.5%
Volume not captured · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify that resolution depends on whether Manchester United is leading at the end of the first half (45 minutes plus stoppage time). Resolution relies on official match statistics from the governing body, with a clear fallback order to Flashscore, Sofascore, and consensus reporting if official stats are delayed. Match postponements keep the market open until completion, and full cancellations resolve to No.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Tradability has not been assessed for this market.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 21, 2026 If Manchester United FC wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Manchester United FC is leading at halftime in their scheduled game on October 21, 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Manchester United FC wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The market resolves to No if Manchester United FC is not leading at halftime, or if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50, or to Draw where applicable. Postponed games keep the market open until completed. The primary resolution source is the official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If these are not published within 2 hours after conclusion, Flashscore data may be used, followed by Sofascore, and then a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Scheduled match date: — Date of the scheduled game
Resolution source
Official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers, Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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