Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?
Current price
40.5¢
+1¢ · 24h
Implied probability 40.5%
$76.5K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The rules clearly specify that the market resolves based on the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, where a win resolves to Yes and any other outcome (such as a draw, loss, or outright cancellation) resolves to No. Resolution relies on official match statistics from the governing body, with a defined fallback chain to Flashscore, Sofascore, and credible reporting. The primary operational risk to monitor is timing, as postponed matches keep the market open indefinitely until played without a stated long-term expiration date.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Med
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 20, 2026 If FC Barcelona wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether FC Barcelona wins their scheduled match on October 20, 2026, considering only regular play plus stoppage time.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if FC Barcelona wins the game scheduled for October 20, 2026, based solely on the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The market resolves to No if FC Barcelona does not win, or if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until it is completed. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50, or to Draw where applicable. Resolution is decided by the official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, with fallbacks to Flashscore after 2 hours, then Sofascore, and then a consensus of credible reporting. Revisions made after resolution are disregarded.
Key dates
- Scheduled match date: — Date of the scheduled FC Barcelona game.
Resolution source
Official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with fallbacks to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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