Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
Current price
20.5¢
−1¢ · 24h
Implied probability 20.5%
$16.3K total volume · YES/NO
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on the match result at the end of regular play plus stoppage time, referencing official organizer data followed by a clear fallback hierarchy of statistics providers. However, a major exceptional clause dictates that if the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to Yes rather than resolving as invalid or No, which creates significant counter-intuitive outcome risk if the fixture does not occur.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- High
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 20, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the match between Paris Saint-Germain FC and FC Barcelona will end in a draw, considering only regulation play and stoppage time. Notably, if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to Yes.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the match ends in a draw within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, or if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. The market resolves to No if either team wins within regular play and stoppage time. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the match is completed. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50, or to Draw where applicable. Resolution is decided by the official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, falling back to Flashscore after 2 hours, then Sofascore, and finally a consensus of credible reporting. Revisions made after market resolution are disregarded.
Key dates
- Scheduled match date: — The match is scheduled to take place on this date.
Resolution source
The official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with fallbacks to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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