Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?
Current price
39.5¢
−1¢ · 24h
Implied probability 39.5%
$52K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify that resolution depends on whether Paris Saint-Germain FC wins the scheduled match within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. A clear fallback order of resolution sources is established, starting with the event's official governing body, followed by Flashscore, Sofascore, and finally credible reporting if earlier sources are unavailable within specified timeframes. Postponement and cancellation scenarios are explicitly handled, with postponed matches keeping the market open until played and outright cancellations resolving to No.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 20, 2026 If Paris Saint-Germain FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Paris Saint-Germain FC will win their soccer match scheduled for October 20, 2026. Only the result within regular play plus stoppage time is considered.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Paris Saint-Germain FC wins the game based on the score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The market resolves to No if Paris Saint-Germain FC does not win, or if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. If the match is postponed, the market stays open until the match finishes. The market resolves 50-50 (or to Draw where applicable) if no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the match's conclusion. Resolution is determined primarily by official statistics from the governing body or event organizers. If these are not published within 2 hours after conclusion, data from Flashscore, then Sofascore, and finally a consensus of credible reporting will be used. Revisions made after resolution are disregarded.
Key dates
- Scheduled match date: — The market remains open if postponed until the game is completed.
Resolution source
Official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, with fallbacks to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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