Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20?
Current price
45.5¢
+3¢ · 24h
Implied probability 45.5%
$35.4K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify that Club Atlético de Madrid must win within regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time) for the market to resolve to Yes. Postponements keep the market open until completion, while outright cancellations resolve to No. The resolution source is well-defined, prioritizing official governing body statistics with explicit, cascading fallbacks (Flashscore, Sofascore, then credible reporting) and a 24-hour limit before a 50-50 resolution. There are no unusual edge cases or hidden conditions likely to surprise participants.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 20, 2026 If Club Atlético de Madrid wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Club Atlético de Madrid wins their match scheduled for October 20, 2026, considering only regular play plus stoppage time.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Club Atlético de Madrid wins the match within regular play plus stoppage time (the first 90 minutes). The market resolves to No if Club Atlético de Madrid does not win, or if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. If the match is postponed, the market remains open until the match is completed. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50 (or to Draw where applicable). Resolution is decided primarily by official statistics from the governing body or event organizers. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours after conclusion, Flashscore, then Sofascore, and then a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Key dates
- Match date: — Scheduled date for the match
Resolution source
Official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, with fallbacks to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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