Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?
Current price
25.5¢
Implied probability 25.5%
$134.5 total volume · YES/NO
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify that the outcome is determined by regular time plus stoppage time, with an established fallback order of resolution sources. However, participants should be aware of unusual exceptional terms: if the match is canceled entirely without being rescheduled, the market resolves to Yes instead of being voided or resolving based on whether a draw actually occurred. Additionally, if the match is postponed, the market remains open indefinitely until played, and if no data is available within 24 hours, it resolves 50-50 or to Draw.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- High
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 20, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the match between VfB Stuttgart and Club Atlético de Madrid ends in a draw within regular play plus stoppage time, or if the match is canceled entirely without a make-up game.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the game ends in a draw within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The market also resolves to Yes if the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game. It resolves to No if the match does not end in a draw. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until it is completed. Resolution is decided using the official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours of the conclusion, Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting may be used in order. Revisions made after resolution are disregarded. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50, or to Draw where applicable.
Key dates
- Scheduled match date: — The date the match is scheduled to occur
Resolution source
Official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with fallbacks to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
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