Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-20?
Current price
28.5¢
−5¢ · 24h
Implied probability 28.5%
$2.4K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market has clear and standard rules for a single-match sports outcome. Resolution is determined strictly by the result after regular play and stoppage time (first 90 minutes plus added time), explicitly excluding extra time or penalty shootouts if applicable. The source hierarchy is well-defined, prioritizing the official governing body or event organizer statistics, followed by clear fallbacks like Flashscore and Sofascore if official data is delayed. Postponements keep the market open until completed, while outright cancellations resolve to No.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 20, 2026 If VfB Stuttgart wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether VfB Stuttgart will win their match scheduled for October 20, 2026, considering only regular play plus stoppage time.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if VfB Stuttgart wins the game within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The market resolves to No if VfB Stuttgart does not win, or if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until completion. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50 (or Draw if applicable). Resolution is determined primarily by official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, with fallbacks to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Scheduled match date: — Date of the scheduled match
Resolution source
Official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, with fallbacks to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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