Will SSC Napoli vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?
Current price
21.5¢
Implied probability 21.5%
$91.3 total volume · YES/NO
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market establishes a clear definition of standard match time (regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time) and relies on a structured hierarchy of sources starting with official organizers. However, participants should be aware of unusual exception clauses: if the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, it resolves to Yes rather than cancelling or resolving to No. Additionally, if the match is postponed, the market remains open indefinitely with no ultimate expiration cutoff date, and if data is completely missing after 24 hours, it defaults to a 50-50 split or Draw.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- High
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 20, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the football match between SSC Napoli and FK Bodø/Glimt ends in a draw within regular play plus stoppage time, with an unusual clause resolving to Yes if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the game ends in a draw within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The market also resolves to Yes if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. If the game is postponed, it remains open until completed. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of conclusion, it resolves 50-50 (or to Draw where applicable). Resolution is decided primarily by official statistics from the event's governing body or organizers. Fallback sources include Flashscore after 2 hours, then Sofascore, and then a consensus of credible reporting. Subsequent score revisions are disregarded.
Key dates
- Scheduled match date: — The scheduled date for the match
Resolution source
Official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with fallbacks to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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