Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20?
Current price
60.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 60.5%
$1.5K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market clearly specifies that it resolves to Yes only if SSC Napoli wins within regular play and stoppage time (90 minutes plus injury time). A draw, loss, or outright cancellation resolves to No. The rules detail a straightforward hierarchy of sources starting with the official governing body's statistics, followed by clear secondary data providers (Flashscore, then Sofascore) if needed. Postponements leave the market open until the game concludes. There is little room for interpretation or unexpected resolution behavior.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 20, 2026 If SSC Napoli wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether SSC Napoli wins their match scheduled for October 20, 2026. The market only considers the outcome at the end of regular play plus stoppage time.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if SSC Napoli wins the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The market resolves to No if SSC Napoli does not win, or if the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game. If the match is postponed, the market stays open until the game concludes. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50 (or to Draw where applicable). Resolution is determined by official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If official stats are not published within 2 hours after the match, Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting may be used consecutively. Later revisions to official scores do not alter the resolution.
Key dates
- Scheduled match date: — Date of the scheduled match; market remains open if postponed.
Resolution source
Official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with fallbacks to Flashscore, Sofascore, or credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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