Will PSV win on 2026-10-20?
Current price
18.5¢
Implied probability 18.5%
$284.5 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify that resolution depends on whether PSV wins within standard regular play plus stoppage time (90 minutes plus added time). Resolution sources are arranged in a strict hierarchical order, starting with the official governing body's statistics, followed by Flashscore, Sofascore, and finally credible reporting if earlier sources are unavailable within designated windows. Clear clauses govern postponements, full cancellations resolving to No, and an ultimate 50-50 fallback if no data is available within 24 hours. Post-resolution official score revisions are explicitly excluded.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 20, 2026 If PSV wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether PSV will win their game scheduled for October 20, 2026. Resolution is restricted strictly to the outcome at the end of regular play plus stoppage time.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if PSV wins the match within regular play plus stoppage time. The market resolves to No if PSV does not win, or if the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game. If the match is postponed, the market remains open until the match is completed. The market resolves 50-50 (or to Draw where applicable) if no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion. Resolution is decided by the official statistics from the governing body or event organizers. If not published within 2 hours of completion, secondary sources are Flashscore, then Sofascore, then a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Scheduled match date: — The market resolves based on the game scheduled for this date.
Resolution source
The governing body or event organizers, with fallbacks to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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