Will FC Porto vs. PSV end in a draw?
Current price
20.5¢
Implied probability 20.5%
$206 total volume · YES/NO
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market clearly defines standard 90-minute regulation plus stoppage time and establishes a clear hierarchy of resolution sources starting with the official governing body. However, participants should be aware of a significant exceptional clause: if the match is canceled entirely without a make-up game, the market resolves to Yes rather than cancelling or resolving 50-50, which gives an unexpected win to the draw outcome despite no game occurring. Additionally, if the match is postponed, the market remains open indefinitely with no explicit expiration date.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Med
- Exceptional clauses
- High
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 20, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the soccer match between FC Porto and PSV scheduled for October 20, 2026, will end in a draw within regular play plus stoppage time, or if the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the game ends in a draw within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The market also resolves to Yes if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. It resolves to No otherwise, including if either team wins within regular time. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50, or to Draw where applicable. The primary resolution source is the official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours of conclusion, Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting may be used consecutively.
Key dates
- Match date: — Scheduled date for the FC Porto vs. PSV game.
Resolution source
Official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with fallbacks to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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