Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-10-20?
Current price
5.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 5.5%
$1.1K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify that the market resolves to Yes if ŠK Slovan Bratislava wins during standard regular play plus stoppage time (90 minutes plus injury time). Key details to watch include the standard soccer clause that extra time or penalty shootouts do not count toward a win, and an outright cancellation resolves to No. The resolution pathway is well-structured, starting with official governing body statistics and falling back to specific sports data aggregators (Flashscore, Sofascore) before resorting to credible reporting or a 50-50 resolution after 24 hours.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 20, 2026 If ŠK Slovan Bratislava wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether ŠK Slovan Bratislava will win their match scheduled for October 20, 2026, counting only regular time plus stoppage time.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if ŠK Slovan Bratislava wins the game within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The market resolves to No if ŠK Slovan Bratislava does not win, or if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until it is completed. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50, or to Draw where applicable. The primary source is official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, falling back sequentially to Flashscore (after 2 hours), Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting. Revisions made after resolution are not accounted for.
Key dates
- Match date: — Scheduled date of the game
Resolution source
Official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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