Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20?
Current price
83.5¢
Implied probability 83.5%
$5.8K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify that the outcome depends solely on the result at the end of regular play plus stoppage time (90 minutes plus injury time). A victory by AS Roma resolves the market to Yes, while draws, losses, and outright cancellations resolve to No. If the fixture is postponed, the market remains open until completion. Resolution relies on an explicit hierarchy of sources starting with the official governing body, followed by Flashscore and Sofascore if needed, with a clear fallback if no data is published within 24 hours. Post-resolution score revisions are explicitly excluded.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 20, 2026 If AS Roma wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether AS Roma wins its scheduled match on October 20, 2026. Only the result within regular play and stoppage time counts toward resolution.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if AS Roma wins within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The market resolves to No if AS Roma does not win, or if the game is canceled entirely without a make-up game. If the match is postponed, the market stays open until the game finishes. The market resolves 50-50 (or to Draw where applicable) if no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the match ending. Resolution is decided using official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, falling back to Flashscore after 2 hours, then Sofascore, and then a consensus of credible reporting. Revisions made after resolution are disregarded.
Key dates
- Scheduled match date: — The market stays open if postponed until completion.
Resolution source
Official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, with fallbacks to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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