Will AEK win on 2026-10-20?
Current price
3.35¢
−0.4¢ · 24h
Implied probability 3.35%
$19.3K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify that the outcome depends on AEK winning during regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time). A clear order of precedence for data sources is established, starting with the official governing body, followed by Flashscore, Sofascore, and general reporting consensus. Provisions for postponements, outright cancellations, and lack of available data are well-defined, leaving minimal room for unexpected resolutions.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 20, 2026 If AEK wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether AEK wins their match scheduled for October 20, 2026, considering only the outcome within standard regular play plus stoppage time.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if AEK wins the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The market resolves to No if AEK does not win, or if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until completion. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the conclusion, it resolves 50-50 (or to Draw where applicable). Resolution is decided by the official statistics of the governing body or event organizers. If unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting will be used as fallbacks.
Key dates
- Match date: — Scheduled date of the game; market stays open if postponed.
Resolution source
Official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, with fallbacks to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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