Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October?
Current price
22.5¢
−2¢ · 24h
Implied probability 22.5%
$42.6K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market features clear, objective criteria with very little room for interpretation. Resolution is determined strictly by Binance 1-minute candle high prices for the ETH/USDT pair between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on October 31. The source is a single named exchange feed, eliminating decider discretion, and there are no ambiguous terms or unusual carve-outs.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
A big move was detected in the last 7 days. No explanation is available for it yet.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum (ETH/USDT) reaches a high price of $2,700 or higher on Binance during October. Resolution relies strictly on Binance's 1-minute candle data and excludes price action prior to market creation.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the ETH/USDT trading pair shows a final High price equal to or greater than $2,700 between the creation of the market and 11:59 PM ET on the last day of October. Price action occurring prior to the market's creation is disregarded. The market resolves to No if this price threshold is not reached during the specified timeframe. Resolution is determined strictly using price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair with 1-minute chart settings, excluding all other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets.
Key dates
- End of observation period: 11:59 PM ET on the last day of October
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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