Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?
Last captured price
43¢
+9.5¢ · 24h
Implied probability 43%
$99.5K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules provide clear and unambiguous resolution mechanics tied directly to an objective, named source. Resolution relies exclusively on the 1-minute candle high prices for the ETH/USDT pair on Binance within the specified time window ending at 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month. There is minimal discretion involved, and no complex exception rules or alternative sources exist to complicate the outcome.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
A big move was detected in the last 7 days. No explanation is available for it yet.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum reaches a price of $2,600 in October. Resolution is tied exclusively to the 1-minute candle data for the ETH/USDT pair on Binance, disregarding price action from other exchanges or trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT shows a final High price equal to or greater than $2,600 between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on the last day of October. Price action prior to market creation is not considered. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches this threshold by the deadline. Resolution is determined strictly by Binance ETH/USDT price data with chart settings set to one-minute candles, and prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — The evaluation window closes at 11:59 PM ET on the last day of October.
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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