Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)
Current price
35.5¢
Implied probability 35.5%
$1.4K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market rules clearly define the spread condition: Fenerbahçe SK must win by 2 or more goals within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with all other outcomes resolving to SK Slavia Praha. The primary resolution source is specifically designated as official statistics published on uefa.com, supported by an explicit fallback hierarchy with set timing thresholds if official data is delayed. Specific clauses account for regular time exclusions, match postponements, cancellations, and subsequent score revisions without introducing subjective decider discretion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for October 20 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Fenerbahçe SK" if Fenerbahçe SK win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "SK Slavia Praha". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures the point spread outcome for the UEFA Champions League match between Fenerbahçe SK and SK Slavia Praha, specifically whether Fenerbahçe SK covers a -1.5 goal spread within regular play plus stoppage time.
How it resolves
The market resolves to "Fenerbahçe SK" if Fenerbahçe SK wins the game by 2 or more goals. The market resolves to "SK Slavia Praha" in all other scenarios. If the match is canceled entirely without a make-up game, it resolves 50–50. The result is based solely on regular play (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. The primary deciding source is the official final score published on uefa.com or official statistics recognized by the governing body. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours, Flashscore, Sofascore, or credible reporting may be used as fallbacks. If no data is available within 24 hours, it resolves 50-50 or to "Draw".
Key dates
- Match date: — Scheduled kickoff at 12:45 PM ET
Resolution source
uefa.com
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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