Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-20?
Current price
58.5¢
+2¢ · 24h
Implied probability 58.5%
$5.5K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify that the market covers the match scheduled for October 20, 2026, resolving to Yes only if Fenerbahçe SK wins within regular time plus stoppage time (90 minutes plus injury time). Clear fallback mechanisms cover match postponements (keeping the market open until played) and complete cancellations (resolving to No). Resolution relies primarily on official governing body statistics, backed by a strict, ordered hierarchy of backup sources (Flashscore, Sofascore, then consensus reporting) with clear timing triggers.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 20, 2026 If Fenerbahçe SK wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Fenerbahçe SK wins their scheduled match on October 20, 2026, considering only regular play plus stoppage time.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Fenerbahçe SK wins the game within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The market resolves to No if Fenerbahçe SK does not win, or if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. If the match is postponed, the market stays open until completion. The primary resolution source is the official statistics from the governing body or event organizers. If official data is not published within 2 hours of completion, statistics from Flashscore, then Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50 (or to Draw where applicable). Subsequent revisions after resolution are not considered.
Key dates
- Scheduled match date: — Date of the scheduled match.
Resolution source
Official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with Flashscore, Sofascore, and credible reporting consensus as fallbacks.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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