Will Sabah FK vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?
Current price
15.5¢
Implied probability 15.5%
$126.3 total volume · YES/NO
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market clearly evaluates whether the soccer match ends in a draw after regular play and stoppage time, backed by a clear hierarchy of sources starting with the official governing body. However, participants must be aware of an unusual cancellation clause: if the match is canceled entirely without a make-up game, the market resolves to Yes rather than 50-50, void, or No, which would surprise anyone expecting a cancellation to cancel the market or count as a non-draw. Postponements leave the market open indefinitely until played.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- High
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 20, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the football match between Sabah FK and BV Borussia 09 Dortmund ends in a draw. Notably, if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to Yes.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the match ends in a draw within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. It also resolves to Yes if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up match scheduled. The market resolves to No if the match ends with either team winning within regular play plus stoppage time. If postponed, the market remains open until completion. The market resolves 50-50 (or to Draw) if no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion. Resolution is determined primarily by the official statistics of the governing body or event organizers, falling back to Flashscore after 2 hours, then Sofascore, then a consensus of credible reporting. Subsequent revisions made after market resolution are not accounted for.
Key dates
- Scheduled match date: — The date the game is scheduled to take place.
Resolution source
Official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with fallbacks to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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