Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in October?
Current price
0.5¢
+0.25¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.5%
$37.2K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify the conditions for resolution, referencing a single, objective resolution source: the Binance DOGE/USDT 1-minute candle data. The time window is strictly defined in Eastern Time, and early resolution to Yes occurs immediately if any 1-minute candle's High price touches or exceeds $0.20 during October. No other exchanges or pairs apply, eliminating discretion or ambiguity.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for DOGE/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance DOGE/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Dogecoin reaches at least $0.20 during the month of October. Resolution is determined strictly by the Binance DOGE/USDT 1-minute candle high price, excluding all other exchanges and trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any 1-minute Binance DOGE/USDT candle has a final High price equal to or greater than $0.20 between 00:00 AM ET on October 1 and 11:59 PM ET on October 31. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Resolution depends exclusively on the Binance DOGE/USDT 1-minute chart; price data from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded.
Key dates
- Measurement period start: — First day of October at 00:00 AM ET
- Measurement period end: — Last day of October at 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Binance DOGE/USDT 1-minute chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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