Will XRP dip to $0.20 in October?
Last captured price
0.1¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.1%
$8.7K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The rules provide precise and objective criteria for resolution. The outcome relies strictly on a single, clearly specified source: the Binance 1-minute candle chart for the XRP/USDT trading pair. The time window is explicitly defined in Eastern Time, covering the entirety of October, and the threshold is based directly on the final Low price of any 1-minute candle. Early resolution is clearly triggered as soon as a qualifying candle prints, leaving no room for subjective interpretation or decider discretion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XRP/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of XRP/USDT on Binance drops to $0.20 or lower during the month of October.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the XRP/USDT trading pair has a final Low price equal to or lower than $0.20 between October 1 at 00:00 AM ET and October 31 at 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches this threshold during that period. Resolution relies solely on Binance 1-minute candle Low prices for the XRP/USDT pair; prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets do not count.
Key dates
- Tracking period start: — 00:00 AM ET
- Tracking period end: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Binance (XRP/USDT 1-minute chart Low prices)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.