Will XRP reach $3.20 in October?
Last captured price
0.25¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.25%
$3.2K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules provide precise and objective criteria for resolution. The outcome relies strictly on a single, named source and specific chart configuration: the final high price of Binance 1-minute candles for the XRP/USDT trading pair. Clear boundaries for the month are defined in Eastern Time, early resolution triggers immediately upon hitting the target, and prices from all other exchanges or trading pairs are explicitly excluded, leaving minimal room for ambiguity or decider discretion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XRP/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of XRP reaches $3.20 or higher on Binance during the month of October. It resolves solely on the Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle high prices, excluding other exchanges and trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves immediately to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the XRP/USDT pair has a final High price equal to or greater than $3.20 between 00:00 AM ET on October 1 and 11:59 PM ET on October 31. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. The outcome is determined exclusively by the XRP/USDT 1-minute chart on Binance. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are disregarded.
Key dates
- Start of measurement period: — 00:00 AM ET on the first day of October
- End of measurement period: — 11:59 PM ET on the last day of October
Resolution source
Binance (XRP/USDT 1-minute candle High prices)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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