Will Solana dip to $40 in October?
Last captured price
0.15¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.15%
$4.1K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market features clear, objective resolution criteria tied to a specific data feed. Resolution depends strictly on the 1-minute candle Low prices for the SOL/USDT pair on Binance between 00:00 AM ET on October 1 and 11:59 PM ET on October 31. The market resolves immediately to Yes if any qualifying 1-minute candle registers a Low price of $40 or below, and resolves to No otherwise. There is no decider discretion, and price data from other exchanges or trading pairs is explicitly excluded.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Solana (SOL) reaches a low price of $40 or lower on Binance during the month of October. Resolution is based strictly on Binance's 1-minute candle data for the SOL/USDT pair.
How it resolves
The market resolves immediately to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for SOL/USDT between 00:00 AM ET on the first day of October and 11:59 PM ET on the last day of October records a final Low price equal to or lower than $40. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Resolution depends exclusively on the Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute chart; prices from other exchanges, spot markets, or different trading pairs are not considered.
Key dates
- Start of October: — Tracking begins at 00:00 AM ET.
- End of October: — Tracking ends at 11:59 PM ET.
Resolution source
Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle Low prices
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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