Will Solana dip to $50 in October?
Last captured price
0.45¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.45%
$26.4K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules provide precise, objective criteria for resolution. The outcome is tied directly to a specific trading pair (SOL/USDT) on a named exchange (Binance) using one-minute candle low prices. The evaluation window is explicitly defined in Eastern Time, and early resolution triggers immediately if the price threshold of $50 or lower is reached during October. There is virtually no source discretion or ambiguity in how the final result is determined.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Solana (SOL/USDT) on Binance drops to $50 or lower at any point during October.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the SOL/USDT pair has a final Low price equal to or lower than $50 between 00:00 AM ET on the first day of October and 11:59 PM ET on the last day of October. The market resolves to No if no such 1-minute candle reaches $50 or lower during that period. Resolution relies exclusively on Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle data, disregarding prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets.
Key dates
- Start of measurement period: — 00:00 AM ET
- End of measurement period: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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