Will Solana dip to $70 in October?
Last captured price
2.3¢
−0.55¢ · 24h
Implied probability 2.3%
$27.4K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria are clearly specified and rely on objective price data from a single named exchange. The market resolves to Yes immediately if any 1-minute candle Low for the SOL/USDT pair on Binance reaches $70.00 or lower between 00:00 AM ET on October 1 and 11:59 PM ET on October 31, and resolves to No otherwise. Data from other exchanges or trading pairs is explicitly excluded, leaving minimal room for decider discretion or timing confusion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Solana (SOL/USDT) falls to $70 or lower on Binance during the month of October.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the SOL/USDT pair reaches a final Low price equal to or lower than $70 between 00:00 AM ET on October 1 and 11:59 PM ET on October 31. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Resolution relies exclusively on Binance 1-minute SOL/USDT candle Low data; prices from other pairs, spot markets, or exchanges are not considered.
Key dates
- Start of tracking period: — 00:00 AM ET on the first day of October
- End of tracking period: — 11:59 PM ET on the last day of October
Resolution source
Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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