Will Solana dip to $80 in October?
Last captured price
4.95¢
−2.05¢ · 24h
Implied probability 4.95%
$30.4K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules are unambiguous and rely on an objective, single data source. Resolution is determined solely by the 1-minute candle Low price for the SOL/USDT pair on Binance during the specified timeframe in October (ET timezone). The market resolves to Yes immediately upon hitting the $80 threshold or lower, and otherwise resolves to No at the end of the month.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Solana dips to $80 or lower during October. It tracks only the 1-minute candle low prices for the specific SOL/USDT pair on Binance.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for SOL/USDT has a final Low price equal to or lower than $80 between 00:00 AM ET on October 1 and 11:59 PM ET on October 31. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches $80 or lower during that period. Resolution relies entirely on Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute chart data; prices from other exchanges, spot markets, or different trading pairs do not count.
Key dates
- Start of tracking period: — 00:00 AM ET
- End of tracking period: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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