Will Solana reach $130 in October?
Last captured price
7¢
−1¢ · 24h
Implied probability 7%
$20.5K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves using a clearly defined, objective metric from a single named source. It triggers an immediate positive resolution if any one-minute Binance SOL/USDT candle High reaches or exceeds $130 between 00:00 AM ET on October 1 and 11:59 PM ET on October 31; otherwise, it resolves to No. The rules explicitly specify the timezone, chart settings, and pair, leaving almost no room for discretion or ambiguity.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Solana (SOL) reaches a price of $130 on Binance during October. Resolution relies strictly on Binance 1-minute candle high prices for the SOL/USDT pair, disregarding prices from all other exchanges or trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for SOL/USDT has a final High price equal to or greater than $130 between 00:00 AM ET on the first day of October and 11:59 PM ET on the last day of October. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle meets or exceeds that threshold during the specified period. Resolution is determined solely using price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair on the 1-minute chart view, and data from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets is not considered.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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