Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?
Last captured price
3.25¢
−0.95¢ · 24h
Implied probability 3.25%
$157.6K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market features clear and deterministic rules. It resolves immediately to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the ETH/USDT pair shows a Low price equal to or lower than $1,800 between 00:00 AM ET on October 1 and 11:59 PM ET on October 31; otherwise, it resolves to No at the end of the month. Resolution relies strictly on a single, named objective data source and specific chart configuration without editorial discretion or ambiguous conditions.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Ethereum dips to $1,800 or lower during October. It resolves strictly using 1-minute candle Low prices from Binance's ETH/USDT trading pair, disregarding all other exchanges and trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT between 00:00 AM ET on October 1 and 11:59 PM ET on October 31 has a final Low price equal to or lower than $1,800. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches or falls below this price threshold during that period. Resolution relies solely on Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute chart data, and prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded.
Key dates
- Start of measurement period: — 00:00 AM ET
- End of measurement period: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle Low prices
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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