Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October?
Last captured price
5.85¢
+0.15¢ · 24h
Implied probability 5.85%
$107.5K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution rules provide precise criteria and leave minimal room for ambiguity. Resolution depends exclusively on a single specified trading pair (ETH/USDT) on Binance, using the 1-minute candle Low price within a clearly defined time window in Eastern Time. The market resolves to Yes immediately if the threshold of $1,900 or lower is touched at any point during October, and resolves to No otherwise.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Ethereum dips to $1,900 or lower on Binance during the month of October.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT has a final Low price equal to or lower than $1,900 between 00:00 AM ET on October 1 and 11:59 PM ET on October 31. It resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches that low threshold during the specified period. Resolution is determined strictly by Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data, excluding all other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets.
Key dates
- Observation period start: — 00:00 AM ET
- Observation period end: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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