Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in October?
Last captured price
10.9¢
+0.35¢ · 24h
Implied probability 10.9%
$64K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market features clear and unambiguous resolution mechanics. It relies strictly on a single, well-defined data source: the 1-minute candle Low prices for the ETH/USDT pair on Binance. The exact time window is explicitly stated in Eastern Time, and early resolution triggers immediately if the threshold is touched. Because price data from other exchanges or pairs is explicitly excluded, there is minimal discretion or room for alternate interpretations.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
A big move was detected in the last 7 days. No explanation is available for it yet.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Ethereum dips to $2,000 or lower during October. It relies strictly on one-minute candle data from Binance's ETH/USDT pair, disregarding all other exchanges and trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the ETH/USDT pair has a final Low price equal to or lower than $2,000 between 00:00 AM ET on October 1 and 11:59 PM ET on October 31. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle meets or falls below this threshold during that period. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or other spot markets are excluded. The deciding source is Binance ETH/USDT price data on the 1-minute chart.
Key dates
- Measurement period start: — 00:00 AM ET
- Measurement period end: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute chart
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