Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?

Last captured price

21.5¢

+3¢ · 24h

Implied probability 21.5%
$317.5K total volume · YES/NO

7-day range 11.5–35¢

Stale price · captured 11 hours ago

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment

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This market features clear, objective criteria with very low operational risk. Resolution relies strictly on a named, publicly accessible data source, specifically the 1-minute candle Low prices for the ETH/USDT pair on Binance. The exact observation window is unambiguously specified in Eastern Time (from 00:00 AM ET on October 1 to 11:59 PM ET on October 31). The market resolves to Yes immediately if any qualifying 1-minute candle shows a Low price equal to or below $2,100, and defaults to No otherwise. Participants should only keep in mind that flash wicks occurring exclusively on Binance's ETH/USDT pair count toward resolution, while price drops on other exchanges or different trading pairs will be disregarded.

Wording ambiguity: Low
Source discretion: Low
Timing risk: Low
Exceptional clauses: Low

Liquidity

Medium tradability

Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.

Book depth $36.8K within 5¢ of mid
Stale book · captured 11 hours ago

Price history range

Price history

Market price

24h7dAll

Why it moved

Up 11 points · 17 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC

Coin price

The contract rose from 20% to 30% as Ethereum fell 1.66% on Binance during the move hour, making a dip to $2,100 more likely.

Largest hourly change: 21:00 UTC, 50% of the net 24-hour change.
ETH (Binance): −1.7% in the move hour, −2.1% over 24 hours.
Closes 14 days after the move hour.
6 related outcomes moved in the same window, 4 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 2,300 (up), ↓ 2,200 (up), ↑ 2,800 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 18 Oct 2026, 19:50 UTC

Resolution rules

Captured Oct 1, 2026

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Rules history

Rules history is not displayed yet.

Market explained

This market measures whether Ethereum's price reaches $2,100 or lower on Binance during October. It is determined exclusively by 1-minute candle Low prices for the Binance ETH/USDT pair.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the ETH/USDT pair has a final Low price equal to or lower than $2,100 between 00:00 AM ET on October 1 and 11:59 PM ET on October 31. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches $2,100 or below during this period. The deciding source is Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart data. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded.

Key dates

Measurement window start: Oct 1, 2026 — 00:00 AM ET
Measurement window end: Oct 31, 2026 — 11:59 PM ET

Resolution source

Binance (ETH/USDT 1-minute candle Low prices)

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash · 17 Oct 2026, 11:33 UTC

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