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Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October?

Current price

59.5¢

+6¢ · 24h

Implied probability 59.5%
$76.6K total volume · YES/NO

7-day range 27.5–85.5¢

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment

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The resolution criteria are clearly specified and rely on deterministic price data from a single designated exchange. Resolution depends entirely on the ETH/USDT 1-minute candle Low prices on Binance reaching $2,300 or lower between 00:00 AM ET on October 1 and 11:59 PM ET on October 31. The market resolves immediately upon meeting the threshold, and price data from other pairs or exchanges is explicitly excluded, leaving no room for decider discretion or ambiguous timing.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

Liquidity

Medium tradability

Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.

Book depth $43.3K within 5¢ of mid
Price history range

Price history

Market price
50¢60¢70¢80¢08:4616:4500:4308:41
20¢40¢60¢80¢100¢Oct 11Oct 13Oct 16Oct 18
0¢20¢40¢60¢80¢Oct 3Oct 8Oct 13Oct 18

Why it moved

Up 12 points · 17 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC

Coin price

The market rose from 60% to 72% as Ethereum fell 1.66% on Binance during the hour, making a dip to $2,300 more likely and serving as the likely driver.

  • Largest hourly change: 21:00 UTC, larger than the net 24-hour change.
  • ETH (Binance): −1.7% in the move hour, +0.2% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 14 days after the move hour.
  • 5 related outcomes moved in the same window, 3 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 2,200 (up), ↓ 2,100 (down), ↓ 2,000 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 17 Oct 2026, 22:05 UTC

Up 14 points · 16 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC

Coin price

The probability rose from 39% to 53% as Ethereum fell 1.15% on Binance during the move hour, bringing the price closer to the $2,300 threshold and making a dip to that level more likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 15:00 UTC, 58% of the net 24-hour change.
  • ETH (Binance): −1.1% in the move hour, −1.5% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 15 days after the move hour.
  • 7 related outcomes moved in the same window, 3 in the same direction. Largest: ↑ 2,700 (down), ↑ 2,800 (down), ↓ 2,100 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 17 Oct 2026, 11:39 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Rules history

Rules history is not displayed yet.

Market explained

This market measures whether the price of Ethereum dips to $2,300 or lower in October based strictly on Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes immediately if any 1-minute candle for the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair has a final Low price equal to or lower than $2,300 between October 1 at 00:00 AM ET and October 31 at 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches or falls below this price during that period. Resolution relies strictly on Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute chart data; prices from other trading pairs, spot markets, or exchanges are not considered.

Key dates

  • Period start: — 00:00 AM ET
  • Period end: — 11:59 PM ET

Resolution source

Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

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