PolymarketCloses · in 12 daysPart of What price will Ethereum hit in October? →

Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?

Last captured price

99.95¢

±0¢ · 24h

Implied probability 99.95%
$102.9K total volume · YES/NO

7-day range 59.5–99.95¢

Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment

Gotcha coverage has not been generated for this market.

Liquidity

Low — thin book

Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.

Book depth $178.6K within 5¢ of mid
Price history range

Price history

Market price

Not enough price history for this range yet.

40¢60¢80¢100¢Oct 12Oct 13Oct 14Oct 15
20¢40¢60¢80¢100¢Oct 3Oct 7Oct 11Oct 15

Why it moved

Up 33 points · 14 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

Coin price

The contract surged from 66% to 100% as Ethereum fell 0.72% on Binance during the move hour and dropped 2.6% over the window, pushing the price past the $2,400 target level and making the dip outcome virtually certain.

  • Largest hourly change: 14:00 UTC, 37% of the net 24-hour change.
  • ETH (Binance): −0.7% in the move hour, −2.6% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 17 days after the move hour.
  • 13 related outcomes moved in the same window, 7 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 2,300 (up), ↑ 2,600 (up), ↓ 2,200 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 15 Oct 2026, 02:50 UTC

Down 28 points · 13 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC

Coin price

Ethereum's price on Binance rose 1.76% during the hour of the move and gained 2.61% over the wider window, the likely driver of the market's price decline from 0.80 to 0.635.

  • Largest hourly change: 01:00 UTC, 80% of the net 24-hour change.
  • ETH (Binance): +1.8% in the move hour, +2.6% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 18 days after the move hour.
  • 8 related outcomes moved in the same window, 4 in the same direction. Largest: ↑ 2,600 (down), ↓ 2,300 (up), ↓ 2,200 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 14 Oct 2026, 01:05 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Rules history

Rules history is not displayed yet.

Market explained

Explainer coverage has not been generated for this market.

Community forecast

Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.