Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?
Current price
10.5¢
−3¢ · 24h
Implied probability 10.5%
$186.5K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules provide precise, objective criteria for resolution. The outcome is determined strictly by 1-minute candle high prices for the ETH/USDT pair on Binance within a clearly stated timeframe (ET timezone). The market resolves to Yes immediately if the target price is touched or exceeded, and to No otherwise. No subjective judgment is involved, and explicit parameters eliminate ambiguity regarding exchange, pair, or candle interval.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
A big move was detected in the last 7 days. No explanation is available for it yet.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum reaches a price of $2,800 or higher during the month of October, based specifically on Binance 1-minute candle high prices for the ETH/USDT pair.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT between 00:00 AM ET on October 1 and 11:59 PM ET on October 31 has a final High price equal to or greater than $2,800. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. The resolution is determined solely by Binance 1-minute candle High prices for the ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or other spot markets are disregarded.
Key dates
- Period start: 00:00 AM ET on the first day of October
- Period end: 11:59 PM ET on the last day of October
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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