Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?
Last captured price
7.5¢
+2¢ · 24h
Implied probability 7.5%
$113.1K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market features clear, objective criteria with very low operational risk. Resolution relies strictly on a single, specific metric: whether any Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle registers a high price of $2,900 or more between October 1 at 00:00 AM ET and October 31 at 11:59 PM ET. The rule includes immediate early resolution if the target is hit, and unambiguously points to Binance's 1m ETH/USDT chart as the sole data source, explicitly excluding all other trading pairs or exchanges.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
A big move was detected in the last 7 days. No explanation is available for it yet.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum reaches a price of $2,900 or higher during October, tracked strictly via Binance 1-minute candle high prices for the ETH/USDT pair.
How it resolves
The market resolves immediately to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the ETH/USDT pair has a final High price equal to or greater than $2,900 between 00:00 AM ET on the first day of October and 11:59 PM ET on the last day of October. The market resolves to No if this price threshold is not reached during the specified period. Resolution is determined solely using Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data; prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets do not count.
Key dates
- Start of measurement period: — 00:00 AM ET on the first day of October
- End of measurement period: — 11:59 PM ET on the last day of October
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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