Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?
Last captured price
0.55¢
−0.1¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.55%
$61.8K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly define the target price, the precise timeframe including time zone boundaries, and the exact resolution source down to the specific Binance ETH/USDT pair and 1-minute candle chart settings. The market resolves immediately to Yes if any 1-minute candle's High meets or exceeds the threshold during October, or to No otherwise, leaving virtually no room for subjective discretion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum reaches a price of at least $3,500 during October. Resolution relies solely on Binance 1-minute candle data for the ETH/USDT pair, disregarding all other exchanges and trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT on Binance has a final High price equal to or greater than $3,500 between 00:00 AM ET on October 1 and 11:59 PM ET on October 31. It resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches this threshold during the specified window. Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart data is the sole deciding source. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded.
Key dates
- Start of measurement window: — 00:00 AM ET
- End of measurement window: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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