Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?
Current price
0.9¢
+0.55¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.9%
$79.7K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market features clear, unambiguous resolution criteria. It relies on a single named exchange feed—the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle High price—within a precise timezone window (Eastern Time). The market immediately resolves to Yes as soon as any qualifying candle reaches or exceeds $3,600, and resolves to No if that threshold is not reached by the end of the month. Other pairs or exchanges are explicitly excluded, leaving no room for decider interpretation.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Ethereum reaches or exceeds $3,600 during the month of October. Resolution relies strictly on 1-minute candle high prices for the ETH/USDT pair on Binance.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT has a final High price equal to or greater than $3,600 between October 1 at 00:00 AM ET and October 31 at 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle meets or exceeds that threshold during the specified period. Prices from other exchanges, spot markets, or different trading pairs are disregarded. The deciding source is Binance 1-minute ETH/USDT chart data.
Key dates
- Period start: — 00:00 AM ET
- Period end: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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