Spread: 49ers (-14.5)
Current price
28.5¢
+0.5¢ · 24h
Implied probability 28.5%
Volume not captured · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria are straightforward and mathematically defined around standard NFL game outcomes, requiring a 15-point margin of victory for the 49ers to cover the spread. Overtime is explicitly included, and clear fallback rules handle postponements and cancellations. While an explicit official data provider like NFL.com is not named, official final scores for NFL games are unambiguous and universally recorded.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NFL football game between Commanders and 49ers, scheduled for October 19 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "49ers" if the 49ers win the game by 15 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the 49ers will defeat the Commanders by a margin of 15 or more points in their scheduled NFL game.
How it resolves
The market resolves to "49ers" if the 49ers win the game by 15 or more points, including overtime if played. The market resolves to "Commanders" under all other game outcomes. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until it is completed. The rules do not specify a deciding source.
Key dates
- Scheduled game start: — Game scheduled between the Commanders and 49ers.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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